Executive
Summary
The
economic bleeding due to increasing offshoring has stopped. The rate of new reshoring is now equal to the
rate of new offshoring. The challenge is
now to reshore the 3 to 4 million manufacturing jobs that are still offshored. Recent
reshoring announcements and successes by Apple, Caterpillar and GE and analysis
of the economics of reshoring suggest that we could raise the net reshoring
rate from the current zero jobs/year to 50,000.
For the U.S. to achieve its full reshoring potential requires a
continuation of offshore cost trends, improvement in U.S. competitiveness and
changes in companies’ sourcing decision metrics. The U.S. government can influence all of
these factors with minimal expenditure to achieve the 2016 scenario shown below.
Manufacturing Jobs / Year
|
||||
2003
|
2013
|
% Change
|
Feasible 2016
|
|
New
offshoring *
|
~150,000*
|
30-50,000*
|
-
70%
|
20,000
|
New
reshoring
|
2,000*
|
30-40,000**
|
+
1,500 %
|
70,000
|
Net
reshoring
|
-148,000
|
~0
|
-100%
|
+50,000
|
*Estimated / ** Calculated